Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 331.714519 375.340970 423.553388 480.957720 547.665891 623.004729 714.901205
2025-11-30 267.103828 324.627952 393.768536 483.688558 598.553720 741.731866 935.845386
2025-12-07 227.387264 289.115135 367.391910 475.223312 621.930302 817.518378 1103.038480
2025-12-14 201.003196 265.019650 349.802669 472.262896 647.891907 895.825310 1281.754247
2025-12-21 175.830864 238.668113 324.852954 454.242252 648.072009 935.143690 1407.140514
2025-12-28 165.583982 231.245880 324.460719 469.891402 697.524626 1051.575610 1667.705535
2026-01-04 157.721081 226.071466 326.225049 488.168010 752.323092 1182.788606 1974.210693
2026-01-11 147.073397 215.537563 318.616671 490.523523 781.226021 1274.895785 2228.409216
2026-01-18 135.216601 201.968134 304.845335 481.085980 788.688030 1330.492467 2424.357792
2026-01-25 124.950096 189.924045 292.243003 471.955364 795.041098 1384.119572 2624.924123
2026-02-01 120.075523 185.984765 292.224542 483.966592 840.078333 1514.747520 3005.181664
2026-02-08 112.953977 177.762976 284.316853 481.148421 857.108290 1593.544002 3290.194832
2026-02-15 105.671390 168.882540 274.823530 475.015932 868.090465 1663.974951 3576.575866
2026-02-22 100.416790 163.042005 270.097132 477.213120 895.774005 1773.376607 3979.466621
2026-03-01 94.072349 154.816072 260.428332 468.939749 900.995655 1835.017923 4278.486827
2026-03-08 89.100773 148.626169 253.892785 466.017680 916.870509 1922.521702 4664.335030
2026-03-15 82.526476 139.122469 240.552643 448.275216 898.771492 1929.122339 4833.719372
2026-03-22 80.871535 138.395238 243.466233 463.683572 955.383083 2121.701421 5575.227094
2026-03-29 79.599696 138.261141 247.454864 481.677396 1020.231769 2346.000282 6476.134080
2026-04-05 76.545023 134.567485 244.243086 483.996329 1048.754006 2482.559270 7144.231199
2026-04-12 72.421704 128.575702 236.059941 474.705160 1048.189618 2541.996559 7576.535292
2026-04-19 68.634914 123.003684 228.330856 465.715701 1047.306388 2600.600632 8024.228264
2026-04-26 67.238281 121.997270 229.774349 477.541145 1100.385842 2820.611794 9122.572901